Bounty Formula Discussion Thread

[eerie]

This thread is here for easy access/reference to the bounties of each round and use if you'd like to discuss/work with others to figure out the formula we're using to assign bounties.

An event mod will continue to update this post with the newest matches' bounties. Maybe we can figure out other things to update the first post with - I'm not sure yet. Ubiq is also much more into the bounty aspect of the matches than I am so he may decide to take control and put other ideas into place to make this more helpful. Some of us may come in at certain points and give you guys hints if you guys are no where near the point of figuring the formula out. Most likely in the form of yes or no questions.

Some people may not wish to discuss what work they've done to try and figure out the formula in hopes of being first. That's fine. But that doesn't mean you should come in here and say "EEEERRRRRRRRR WRONG THATS SO RWRONG." That goes for putting people down overall and being rude. You'll be dismissed from the thread permanently.

Akagami figured out the first round formula so if he wants to share the answer he got for that he may do so and if he wants I'll put it into this post. Either way. It may help some people in figuring out what types of variables to think of.

Anyways, this'll probably be updated quite a bit over the next day or so until we have some sort of outline figured out. For now, feel free to discuss. I would also very much recommend using and referencing Ubiq's Statistics Thread while looking for numbers and trying out variables. It'll save you a tremendous amount of time.

Round 2 Bounties (so far):
Garp 41,920,000
Franky 39,070,000
Shackey 11,090,000
Rayleigh 33, 580,000
Enel 15,280,000
Makino 21,210,000
Sanji 22,120,000
Usopp 36,070,000
Moriah 11,410,000
Bon Kurei 27,080,000
Crocodile 46,170,000
Doflamingo 17,180,000
Aokiji 20,070,000
Sabo 25,750,000
Hancock 16,420,000
X. Drake 13,040,00
Fisher Tiger 21,850,000
Luffy 42,940,000


Round 1 Bounties:

Hidden:

Doflamingo: 6,660,000
Bepo: 6,300,000
Jango: 3,080,000
Fisher Tiger: 13,920,000
Mihawk: 7,320,000
Hachi: 4,500,000
Shirahoshi: 2,640,000
Shackey: 4,020,000
Hannyabal: 3,840,000
Benn: 5,730,000
Garp: 21,120,000
Smoker: 14,820,000
X. Drake: 5,610,000
Perona: 3,120,000
Makino: 3,640,000
Dragon: 13,620,000
Bon Kurei: 17,280,000
Hililuk:4,960,000
Paulie: 3,760,000
Vista: 7,020,000
Momonga: 2,780,000
Enel: 7,500,000
Tom: 8,250,000
Laboon: 4,200,000
Rayleigh: 17,580,000
Jimbe: 10,620,000
Bonney: 5,820,000
Hancock: 6,120,000
Luffy: 24,900,000
Kizaru:6,600,000
Magellan: 14,220,000
Hattori: 3,200,000
Otohime: 7,320,000
Buggy: 6,750,000
Franky: 23,600,000
Shanks: 7,290,000
Akainu: 3,700,00
Arlong: 4,640,000
Ryuuma: 5,700,000
Dr. Kureha: 3,800,000
Sanji: 13,500,000
Crocus: 3,940,000
Usopp: 22,500,000
Zeff: 5,940,000
Roger: 6,210,000
Sabo: 14,880,000
Aokiji: 14,940,000
Pandaman: 5,130,000
Inazuma: 11,700,000
Law: 16,020,000
Brook: 14,280,000
Hiking Bear: 3,260,000
Crocodile: 15,240,000
Whitebeard: 26,000,000
Robin: 17,460,000
Mr. 3: 3,880,000
Ivankov: 16,260,000
Norland: 7,500,000
Ace: 3,320,000
Moriah: 3,880,000
Nami: 13,320,000
Kidd: 6,360,000
Kuma: 16,980,000
Zoro: 13,560,000

[akagami7]

the 1st round bounties formula is

Ok, the bounties are
If the character ended first in the preliminaries, his bounty is his number of votes x60000
If ended second---x30000
If ended third---x20000

It seems that the 2nd round bounties aren't related with the number of votes, at least not like in the first round.
I noticed that rayleigh bounties are pretty similar,
in the first round he has 17,580,000
in the second round 33,580,000

[Don Quichotte De Flamingo]

Having fun with math...hell yeah :)

[eerie]

@akagami: and did you figure out why the bounties of WB, Usopp, Franky and Luffy were the way they were? Not saying that's important or not.

[akagami7]

@akagami: and did you figure out why the bounties of WB, Usopp, Franky and Luffy were the way they were? Not saying that's important or not.

No, I figure the other bountys before their matches, so I forgot about them.

[Sonic Youth]

This is all just a plan to distract me from making campaigns.

[Chrissie]

I am going to avoid this thread for a bit. It might suck me in! D:

[Gerri]

Here it goes again. I remember trying and failing miserably last year. It was quite easy at first and then Ubiq just kept on making it harder and harder. I wasted hours for nothing. )-:
And I'll do again, haha.

[MANUELF]

@akagami: and did you figure out why the bounties of WB, Usopp, Franky and Luffy were the way they were? Not saying that's important or not.

Because all of them are former champions?

[Gerri]

Well, since they are former champions they didn't compete in the prelims. Consequentially, the same formula couldn't directly be applied to them. I haven't looked in the details though. Just checking the other bounties for extreme changes right now. Cases like the boost in the Makino bounty tend to be a good starting point to identify one of the variables (assuming it's multiple ones again).

[BekaDidAct]

I don't understand anything.

[eerie]

Because all of them are former champions?

Well then why were they all different?

[Kitsune Inferno]

The Round 1 opponent appears to play into the equation somehow. Take a look at this:

Crocodile 46,170,000 - 15,240,000 = 30,930,000 (Whitebeard) 2600
Garp 41,920,000 - 21,120,000 = 20,800,000 (Smoker) 1482
Luffy 42,940,000 - 24,900,000 = 18,040,000 (Kizaru) 660
Makino 21,210,000 - 3,640,000 = 17,570,000 (Dragon) 1362
Rayleigh 33, 580,000 - 17,580,000 = 16,000,000 (Jinbei) 1062

Franky 39,070,000 - 23,600,000 = 15,470,000 (Shanks) 729

Usopp 36,070,000 - 22,500,000 = 13,570,000 (Zeff) 594

Ivankov - 28,590,000 - 16,260,000 = 12,330,000 (Noland) 750
Nami 24,700,000 - 13,320,000 = 11,380,000 (Kid) 636
Sabo 25,750,000 - 14,880,000 = 10,870,000 (Roger) 621
Doflamingo 17,180,000 - 6,660,000 = 10,520,000 (Bepo) 630

Hancock 16,420,000 - 6,120,000 = 10,300,000 (Bonney) 582
Sanji 22,120,000 - 13,500,000 = 8,620,000 (Crocus) 394
Arlong - 12,970,000 - 4,640,000 = 8,330,000 (Akainu) 370
Fisher Tiger 21,850,000 - 13,920,000 = 7,930,000 (Jango) 308
Beckman 13,650,000 - 5,730,000 = 7,920,000 (Hannyabal) 384
Enel 15,280,000 - 7,500,000 = 7,780,000 (Momonga) 278

Moriah 11,410,000 - 3,880,000 = 7,530,000 (Ace) 332

Shackey 11,090,000 - 4,020,000 = 7,070,000 (Shirahoshi) 264
Aokiji 20,070,000 - 14,940,000 = 5,130,000 (Pandaman) 513
---
Bon 27,080,000 - ??? =
X Drake 13,040,000 - ??? =

Above, I sorted the list by highest bountry increase to lowest increase. I then compared the bounties of their Round 1 opponents, which is the numerical value on the far right. Ehhh, doesn't tell us much, as Kizaru, Zeff and Pandaman appear to be major anomalies BUT:


Prelim Ranks:
Smoker 247
Dragon 227
Kizaru 220 (<- Oh look!)

Eustass Kid 212

Bepo 210
Roger 207

Zeff 198

Crocus 197
Hannyabal 192
Akainu 185
Jinbe 177
Pandaman 171

Ace 166
Shirahoshi 132

---

Shanks

Momonga

Jango

Bonney

Noland


I'll do some more, but this appears to be a solid lead.

--- Update From New Post Merge ---

Damn in this case, Jinbei becomes an anomaly... Hmmm...

--- Update From New Post Merge ---

Oh crap, I just noticed Aokiji's bounty is simple an addition of Pandaman's...

Here's an EtherPad we can use for notes, if you guys want:

http://ietherpad.com/jRHSiyOZV8

[Gerri]

I noticed the Pandaman increase on Aokiji's bounty, as well. It could be a coincidence but it does some a good lead for now. Maybe the prior rankings still play into it. Aokiji was first in the prelims while Pandaman was third, so maybe defeating him doesn't count as much as defeating someone who ranked higher or equal in the prelims.

[Kitsune Inferno]

You have a point, but that doesn't say much for Luffy's increase. I'm guessing the raw vote count comes into play somewhere, but how is the question.

[ntk]

Seriously! I don't like math and I'm not gonna calculate stuff now, but I like how people put science into some relatively trivial events.
Although I've gotta admit, that this is my first character tournament on AP forums that I'm actually following. So just noob talks over here. :d

[RobbyBevard]

I insisted that the bounties actually be solvable this year, so that it remains an actual fun game to participate in, so its a *little* less complex than it was last year. For this round anyway. Long as you guys stay positive and keep at it, you should be able to figure it out. Good luck!

[Hiroy]

Yeah... The last one was crafted by an evil genius.

[Kitsune Inferno]

I have to ask. Is Aokiji's bounty correct? It throws everything else I've got off for a loop. :\

[Juvar]

This is too much for my poor head, I don't know where to start! - ah, what the heck, let's do this.